tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-41191939951743249562024-03-15T21:09:08.329-04:00The Bobcats DenA blog analyzing all things Charlotte Bobcats.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.comBlogger31125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-40189177026843898082007-11-05T15:01:00.000-05:002007-11-05T15:35:13.118-05:00Bobcats Thoughts After Week One1. Jason Richardson has exceeded my expectations. He leads the team in points scored , and he's done it by shooting 51% from the floor and a staggering 56% from 3-point range. This efficiency has been one of the biggest factors in the Bobcats' early success.<br /><br />2. Raymond Felton has been masterful in helming the team's new fast-paced offense. He's distributing the ball well while avoiding needless turnovers (aside from an ugly possession yesterday where he allowed himself to be trapped, then threw it away). Felton has also done a nice job of getting to the foul line - he leads the team in free throw attempts. Finally, and most importantly, Felton is deferring to Richardson/Okafor/Wallace more when it comes to shooting the ball - he still is shooting, but he's driving to the basket more and as a consequence is making a much higher percentage of his shots. Great all-around play by Felton.<br /><br />3. Okafor remains the team's best player. He is a double-double machine and is the team's only shot-blocking presence. <br /><br />4. Wallace has been great, but his style of play worries me. When he went down clutching his knee in the second quarter of yesterday's game, the Bobcats' season flashed before my eyes. Because make no mistake, the Bobcats are not a playoff team without Wallace. I am not advocating that Wallace dramatically change his game - but when my "Wallace-on-the-floor" count topped five yesterday, I got nervous. Is Wallace giving 75% for 75 games better than Wallace giving 100% for 50? Tough call.<br /><br />5. McInnis is clearly a significant downgrade over Felton, but he has taken less shots this year and is taking care of the ball. Both are good signs. He is committing too many fouls, though, and this aggressive play has only netted 1 steal in 48 minutes. Is this worth the offensive handicap we take when McInnis is in the game? I don't like the dual McInnis/Felton lineup.<br /><br />6. Hollins has been very impressive. At times he strays into a "Tyrus Thomas" out-of-control style, but he has rebounded well and his quickness provides a great spark. He's only played 15 minutes, though, so I don't yet have a sense of his defensive ability. So far, I really like what I see from Hollins.<br /><br />7. And then there's Primoz Brezec. Primoz has been horrible. Absolutely, indisputably horrible. He has provided no offensive help, managing only 4 points in 42 minutes. He is a massive liability on the glass - Matt Carroll has as many rebounds as Primoz, and he's played far fewer minutes. Meanwhile, he's committed bad turnovers, committed too many fouls, failed to get to the free throw line, and been absolutely abused in the paint by Shaquille O'Neal, Udonis Haslem, and Alonzo Mourning. I know a sample size of two games is small, but Primoz needs to improve or be benched.<br /><br />8. Word association for the rest of the team: Matt Carroll: disappointing; Jared Dudley: promising; Walter Hermann: bricking.<br /><br />Love what I've seen so far. 2-0, with the big three playing like All-Stars and Felton elevating his game.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com51tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-37816008397393410072007-10-30T12:54:00.000-04:002007-10-30T13:15:13.145-04:00Season Tip-Off, Bobcats NotesThe NBA season tips off tonight, with TNT airing a double-header of Portland/San Antonio and L.A. Lakers/Houston.<br /><br />The Bobcats' season doesn't begin until Friday, of course, when the Bobcats play the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are going to be one of the worst teams in the NBA this season. Hopefully the game will allow the Bobcats to start the season with a W and gain some confidence in the process.<br /><br />Rick Bonnell <a href="http://www.charlotte.com/bobcats/story/340479.html">is reporting</a> that Othella Harrington has been medically cleared to practice. There's no clear timetable for his return to the Bobcats lineup, but this is an encouraging step. Although Othella was a <a href="http://www.wagesofwins.com/Bobcats0507.html">sub-par player</a> last season, his injured knee could have been a contributing factor. Hopefully his off-season surgery will propel him to unchartered levels of productivity.<br /><br />I <span style="font-style: italic;">demand </span>that the Bobcats re-sign Emeka Okafor before the November 1 deadline. Emeka is a franchise player, one of the elite big men in the NBA. He is the future of the Bobcats, and he must be locked down immediately. Emeka deserves to receive quite the "treat" on Halloween.<br /><br />Something I'll be checking in the box scores tomorrow: how did the Jason Richardson-less Golden State Warriors fare? Also, with the Warriors apparently opting not to re-sign Andris Biedrins, I am officially ready to start pounding the "sign Biedrins" drums. We need a center, and he's a young prototype. The Bobcats' management should have their scouts focusing on Biedrins all season long.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com28tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-942210742596961552007-10-26T08:46:00.000-04:002007-10-26T09:09:35.158-04:00Bobcats LinksLet's take a quick look at some Bobcats-related sites:<br /><br /><a href="http://bobcatjohnson.blogspot.com/">Bobcat Johnson</a> is a promising new Bobcats blog. Recent posts: review the Suns game, question Okafor's preseason play, discuss the injury bug, and spotlight the Lady Cats. Well worth a visit.<br /><br />BobcatsPlanet's <a href="http://www.bobcatsplanet.com/joomla/component/option,com_smf/Itemid,70/board,4.0">discussion forum</a> remains the best spot on the Internet for Bobcats-related discussion. If Bobcats news breaks, you can be sure it's being discussed on this forum. I visit the site several times a day and post under the user name "bobcatsden".<br /><br /><a href="http://www.queencityhoops.com/The5WithRyanAndTheirOpponents.php">Queen City Hoops</a> looks at Ryan Hollins preseason performance, noting that he was unspectacular against very weak competition. When Bynum, Mihm, and Pachulia are giving you fits, it's going to be a long season.<br /><br />Finally, <a href="http://mvn.com/nba-bobcats/2007/10/22/morrison-out-bobcats-07-08-season-preview/">BobcatsBonfire</a> provides its 2007-08 Bobcats Preview. The post points out a need to transition the team's scoring responsibility from Felton to Richardson/Hermann. I certainly agree. Strangely, there's no mention of Jared Dudley in the "key additions" passage. As I've written <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/09/jared-dudley-impact-player.html">many</a> <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/10/dudley-tv-schedule-bonnell.html">times</a>, I'm expecting an impressive rookie campaign.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com235tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-72760602505000755392007-10-25T15:07:00.000-04:002007-10-26T09:10:28.903-04:00Bobcats News & NotesAs expected, I took some heat from readers for my <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/10/adam-morrison-tears-acl.html">previous post</a>. I stand by my thesis - that Morrison's minutes will be filled by superior players - but this is one debate that has no definitive answer. So let's move on to other Bobcats news.<br /><br />It appears that Primoz Brezec has passed Ryan Hollins on the depth chart and will start at center. I still have some misgivings about this. Primoz had a bad year last year, and year-to-year performance for NBA players tends to be fairly consistent. But maybe a combination of injuries, personal issues, and reduced playing time held Primoz back. Here's hoping.<br /><br />Hermann has been very impressive in recent preseason games. There's some allure in starting Hermann at PF and Okafor at C. Would that lineup be big enough to stop opposing teams and scrap for rebounds? That's apparently Vincent's rationale for avoiding it.<br /><br />Brandan Wright, the 2007 draft pick we parlayed into Jason Richardson, was recently demoted to the NBA Developmental League. While Wright is destined to be a solid NBA player, this is yet another indication that Wright would not have provided the Bobcats with much short-term help. I still applaud the "win-now" trade for J-Rich.<br /><br />Only one preseason game to go before the regular season starts...Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com16tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-36308995754787048052007-10-21T19:57:00.000-04:002007-10-21T20:15:48.593-04:00Adam Morrison Tears ACLAdam Morrison tore his ACL last night. He is likely out for the season. <br /><br />First things first - I regret that Morrison was injured. Morrison clearly cares about the Bobcats. His preseason performance was encouraging, and he was eager to prove that he deserved his draft position. I feel bad for Morrison, and I'm rooting for him to make a full and speedy recovery.<br /><br />That said, the Bobcats are a better team today than they were yesterday. I know that's brutal, but it's true. Morrison was one of the least effective players in the NBA last season. Barring an unprecedented turnaround (literally unprecedented), Morrison was going to be a below-average player this season too. Post-injury, all of those unproductive minutes will be distributed to two superior players - Walter Hermann and Matt Carroll. <br /><br />I am struggling with the fact that a part of me is glad Morrison got hurt.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com39tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-44332086522799259552007-10-15T11:01:00.000-04:002007-10-15T11:20:48.294-04:00Bobcats PreviewsA couple new Bobcats previews that I wanted to spotlight.<br /><br />First, <a href="http://cbs.sportsline.com/nba/story/10408795/rss">Tony Meija</a> points to Morrison's excellent preseason shooting percentage and predicts a resurgence. Here's hoping. As an aside, Tony Meija is one of the best NBA columnists in the country. I highly recommend that you check out his CBS Sporstline columns.<br /><br />Next, <a href="http://www.sportingnews.com/yourturn/viewtopic.php?t=288968">The Sporting News</a> provides a very positive perspective on the Bobcats' upcoming season. They point out, as I did <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/10/preseason-points-of-emphasis.html">in a recent post</a>, that one of the biggest question marks for the Bobcats is Coach Vincent's capacity to run an NBA team. I'd like to add a similar plug for The Sporting News - if you are reading Sports Illustrated or ESPN The Magazine, stop immediately and subscribe to TSN. It's a different class of coverage - deeper analysis, a willingness to wade into X's and O's, and a steady focus on the major sports.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com10tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-3938385520516471362007-10-11T15:18:00.000-04:002007-10-11T15:56:52.659-04:00Bobcats Shelled by MagicOuch. In the Bobcats' first preseason game, the Orlando Magic shot 64%. Did the Bobcats play any defense? <br /><br />Some damning stats:<br /><ul><li>J.J. Reddick hit 5 of 8 three-pointers. </li></ul><ul><li>Carlos Arroyo, Trevor Aziza, Patt Garrity, and Keith Bogans all scored in double digits, and all did so on 60%+ field goal shooting.</li></ul><ul><li>Adonal Foyle, who <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/foyle-to-bobcats.html">I wanted on the Bobcats this season</a>, out-rebounded Emeka Okafor despite playing 10 less minutes.</li></ul><ul><li>Jeff McInnis went 0-3 with 4 fouls and a turnover in 23 minutes of play (Derek Anderson did not play).</li></ul>That said, there were some bright spots for the Bobcats. Jermareo Davidson played well, making 5 of 10 shots and pulling in 3 rebounds in 18 minutes of play. Morrison was 6 for 11. And Richardson pulled in 6 rebounds to go with his 17 points. <br /><br />A few lingering questions:<br /><br />1. How severe is Dudley's "left big toe sprain"?<br /><br />2. Where is Primoz? Not only did he not play - he wasn't with the team.<br /><br />3. When will Derek Anderson (who rode the bench last night) start to receive some of McInnis' minutes?Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com14tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-31282478282717857412007-10-09T10:21:00.000-04:002007-10-09T10:55:00.762-04:00Preseason Points of EmphasisThe Bobcats' first preseason game is tomorrow night. Here's where my attention will be focused:<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Raymond Felton's shooting</span>. Last season, Felton took the most shots on the team, but had the second-worst shooting percentage. Felton cannot continue to heave those long, errant jump-shots. He also needs to shoot less. Richardson, Wallace, and Okafor are all superior scoring options, and Felton must focus on feeding them the ball. Felton no longer has to carry the offensive load; this season, he must be a pass-first guard. That is a difficult, but crucial, transition.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Okafor & Wallace's free throw percentage</span>. Okafor and Wallace were a combined 484 for 742 (65%) from the free throw line last season. That's a lot of points left on the table. If Okafor and Wallace could each boost his FT% by 10%, the team would be in a significantly better position to win games. I hope this was a point of emphasis in the off-season.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Sam Vincent's demeanor</span>. Vincent said all the right things in training camp, and installed an offense that could score a lot of points. But I have no idea how he'll coach on game day. Between shuffling lineups, addressing refs, and managing the clock, Vincent will be cutting his NBA teeth this month. <br /><br />Should be fun to watch.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-35264527618214562382007-10-08T12:53:00.000-04:002007-10-08T13:16:17.616-04:00Ryan Hollins: Seizing OpportunityPrimoz Brezec skipped training camp. The Bobcats jettisoned Jake Voskuhl and Melvin Ely. Sam Vincent wants Okafor to play power forward. This all amounts to an enormous opportunity for Ryan Hollins.<br /><br />It reminds me of Tiki Barber's <a href="http://www.ifilm.com/video/2819755/collection/18373/minisite/superbowl">Cadillac commercial</a> - professional sports is all about seizing opportunities. Tiki says, "Opportunities are seldom perfect, but I've learned that if you're not ready for them, they may not come again."<br /><br />Hollins seems ready. A UCLA high-jumper, Hollins has flourished during training camp as Sam Vincent installed his new, up-tempo offense. He appears committed to playing the role of rebounder/shot-blocker/defender, a role the Bobcats so badly need filled in the wake of the Sean May injury. As Hollins <a href="http://www.charlotte.com/bobcats/story/308895.html">told the Observer</a>, Richardson, Wallace, Okafor, and Felton will be taking the majority of shots - it's up to him to provide provide off-the-ball support.<br /><br />As the Bobcats gear up for their first pre-season game on Wednesday, Hollins takes the next step towards proving that he deserves to be the Charlotte Bobcats' starting center.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-4369946613454836312007-10-06T08:44:00.000-04:002007-10-08T13:20:03.612-04:00May Out - What is Plan B?Sean May needs microfracture surgery, and is <a href="http://www.charlotte.com/bobcats/story/307705.html">out for the season</a>. This is simply terrible news. Sean May was one of the Bobcats' best players last season (WP48 of 0.175), and he provides desperately needed rebounding support. The Bobcats are now scrambling to implement "Plan B".<br /><br />Unfortunately, according <a href="http://blogs.charlotte.com/inside_the_nba/">to Mark Bonnell</a>, the Bobcats haven't decided what Plan B is yet. Some potential candidates:<br /><br />1) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Start Ryan Hollins</span>. Hollins barely played last season, so his statistics are of questionable value. That warning aside, his play was poor (WP of -0.161, worse than McInnis). We need a center who can rebound, and rebounding has never been Hollins' forte (he averaged 8 rebounds/40 minutes his senior year). If Hollins is going to be the team's starting center, he must commit to rebounding and defense. If he can't fill this role, the Bobcats will be dominated on the boards and in the paint.<br /><br />2) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Sign Marc Jackson</span>. As I <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/09/bobcats-must-pursue-mutombo.html">discussed previously</a>, this is a terrible option. Jackson has nothing left in the tank, and the Bobcats would be better off saving their money. Why sign someone who will give opposing teams a mismatch each night? Hollins provides that already.<br /><br />3) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Locate Primoz</span>. I <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/10/starting-lineupsprimoz.html">came down hard</a> on Primoz for skipping training camp again this year. He's been MIA for weeks, addressing "family issues" (the new "exhaustion"), and hasn't practiced with Coach Vincent at all. Even when available, he doesn't help the team (WP48 last season of -0.110). That said, he is experienced, under contract, and in the past has shown glimmers of adequacy. Rumor has Primoz in Charlotte now, waiting for training camp to break. This makes the Primoz option a viable, if ultimately undesirable, solution.<br /><br />4) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Play Dudley/Hermann at PF, move Okafor to C</span>. Vincent apparently refuses to slide Okafor over to center. So as of right now, this option isn't happening. But it would allow us to put another good player on the court, and keep a bad one off of it. Vincent needs to weigh the downside of playing Okafor at center against the downside of playing a scrub at center and benching Hermann/Dudley.<br /><br />5) <span style="font-weight: bold;">Spend big money on Anderson Varejao</span>. He is easily the best center available, but rumor has him asking over $7 million/year. Obviously his leverage has dwindled given the Cavs' refusal to pay him, and the league's disinterest in his availability. But he would still come with a hefty price tag. I don't see the Bobcats springing for such a contract, but if there was ever a time to spend our mid-level exception, this is it.<br /><br />I have no idea which Plan B the Bobcats will embrace. I would prefer the latter option, but who knows if the Bobcats will even consider it. One thing is for certain: our season rides on this decision.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-59149723019525375842007-10-05T17:20:00.000-04:002007-10-05T17:42:37.590-04:00Bobcats' Offensive Composite ScoresI was reading <a href="http://www.queencityhoops.com/">Queen City Hoops</a> today (a must-read for any Bobcats fan) and followed a link to <a href="http://www.82games.com/index.htm">82games.com</a>'s Offensive Composite Score - a combination of PER, Dean Oliver's offensive rating system, and offensive +/-. Click <a href="http://www.82games.com/nichols3.htm">here</a> for the numbers for all NBA players in the 06-07 season. <br /><br />I am obviously a big stats guy. Although I prefer the Wins Produced metric created by David Berri (author of <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/">The Wages of Wins</a>), I am interested in any statistic that can help sculpt my evaluation of NBA players. So: the idea of combining various statistics to create a comprehensive score holds great appeal. <br /><br />Below are the Offensive Composite Scores for each of last season's Bobcats.<br /><br />Derek Anderson: 31.4<br />Matt Carroll: 28.3<br />Emeka Okafor: 25.0<br />Gerald Wallace: 21.8<br />Sean May: 20.4<br />Walter Hermann: 15.5<br />Raymond Felton: 6.6<br />Brevin Knight: -3.3<br />Primoz Brezec: -16.4<br />Jake Voskuhl: -21.3<br />Jeff McInnis: -47.5<br />Adam Morrison: -51.4<br /><br />Morrison and McInnis both shot below 40% last season, and they are at the bottom of the pack. That makes sense.<br /><br />Conversely, Derek Anderson is a big surprise. Last season he shot 43% from the floor and 34% from 3-point range. How does that translate into such an outstanding Offensive Composite Score? His Offensive Composite Score is higher than Shaquille O'Neal, Dwight Howard, and Al Jefferson!<br /><br />What gives?Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-13710691107855972262007-10-05T15:06:00.000-04:002007-10-05T15:25:56.287-04:00Starting Lineups/PrimozIt's tough to predict the Bobcats' starting five. The Observer <a href="http://www.charlotte.com/bobcats/story/306351.html">is reporting</a> that Okafor, Felton, Wallace, Richardson, and Hollins are practicing as the first team during training camp. But Hollins is subbing in for Brezec (more on Primoz below). That seems to suggest a starting five of:<br /><br />PG: Felton<br />SG: Richardson<br />SF: Wallace<br />PF: Okafor<br />C: Brezec<br /><br />This leaves Okafor in his natural PF position, which is clearly desirable. But the trade-off - playing time for Primoz - may not be worth it. Instead, as Rick Bonnell suggests, we're likely to see:<br /><br />PG: Felton<br />SG: Richardson<br />SF: Wallace<br />PF: Hermann/May<br />C: Okafor<br /><br />This is an all-around better team, but we lose the advantage of playing Okafor at PF. Also, when Hermann is in the lineup, Okafor has to modify his game to disproportionately focus on rebounding, since Hermann plays so much smaller than his 6'9 frame. If May can get on the court, he would be a welcome rebounding force and should get the nod as the team's starting PF.<br /><br />A top-notch center is certainly the missing piece of the Bobcats puzzle.<br /><br />Back to Primoz. Primoz started last season by skipping training camp due to "exhaustion". He then performed terribly throughout the season, regressing drastically from his previous productivity. I would have guessed that he'd show up to camp this season doubly committed to proving himself as a starting NBA center. Did he? Nope. Citing "family issues", he skipped training camp once again. If Primoz is dealing with an illness in the family, I apologize in advance for this criticism. But if "family issues" is the 2007 version of "exhaustion", and Primoz is once again simply collecting his paycheck, it is time to show him the door.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-18149222510225122492007-10-04T16:57:00.000-04:002007-10-04T17:22:32.664-04:00Dudley, TV Schedule, BonnellAs I said in an <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/09/jared-dudley-impact-player.html">early post</a> on this blog, Jared Dudley is going to be very good. Not just five-minutes-a-game good. Dudley is going to be in the hunt for Rookie of the Year. An AP writer, Mike Cranston, wrote an <a href="http://www.theledger.com/article/20071004/APS/710040818">interesting article</a> on Dudley today. He notes that Dudley is objectively unathletic, but is nevertheless very good at basketball. Personally, I don't care how fast you run the 40 if you average a double-double. Is it possible that Dudley will emerge as the Bobcats' version of David Lee? I sure think so.<br /><br />Elsewhere, RealGM reviewed the Charlotte Bobcats yesterday. I hope to address this review in greater depth tomorrow. For now, I'll simply <a href="http://bobcats.realgm.com/articles/27/20071003/2007-2008_season_preview_charlotte_bobcats/">provide a link</a>.<br /><br />Here is a <a href="http://content.news14.com/bobcats/schedule.htm">schedule</a> of the Bobcats games that will be televised on News 14 Carolina. Looks like they'll be broadcasting about 50 games. I'm pleased to see that they'll be airing so many away games in February and March, when the Bobcats are almost constantly on the road.<br /><br />Kudos to Rick Bonnell of the Charlotte Observer, who has reemerged from his off-season cocoon and is providing <a href="http://www.charlotte.com/bobcats/">consistent updates</a> on the team's progress in training camp. I'm glad to have him back.<br /><br />Finally, I invite you all to bookmark this page and check back regularly. I'll be updating daily when the season begins (I update nearly daily now, truth be told). I'm excited about the growth of this blog, and I enjoy reading your feedback in the Comments section.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-47932032710655085872007-10-03T09:24:00.001-04:002007-10-03T13:39:07.461-04:00Preseason ExcitementThe Bobcats opened training camp this week, and I couldn't be more optimistic about our prospects for this season. ESPN's John Hollinger concurs. In his Team Forecast, Hollinger warns NBA fans not to sleep on the Bobcats. Of particular interest to me was his assessment of our strengths and weaknesses. Strength? The Bobcats starting five, which can compete with anyone in the East. Weakness? Lack of depth at center and power forward. That's spot on.<br /><br />If the Bobcats can avoid an injury to Felton and keep Morrison off the floor, Hollinger thinks the Bobcats are a playoff team. He concludes:<br /><blockquote>Nonetheless, it seems to me the Bobcats' young guys are ready to step into the limelight. It will be a tight race for the East's final two or three playoff spots, but I'm guessing Charlotte will get its first playoff game since the Hornets skipped town.</blockquote><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size:100%;">Note: I would link to Hollinger's article, but it's behind the ESPN Insider wall. It's a great piece, though, and his analysis of each NBA team further cements him as a must-read NBA columnist.<br /><br /></span><ul><li><span style="font-size:100%;">For an insightful behind-the-scenes look at the Bobcats, check out Matt Rochinski's <a href="http://www.nba.com/bobcats/blog_2007_training_camp.html">Training Camp blog</a>. Rochinski is the Bobcats' New Media Manager. Based on this blog, he's a basketball fan and solid writer - not just tech support. That's great to see, as the days of fans relying on the Observer for Bobcats news are over.</span></li></ul><ul><li>Blazers blog "<a href="http://www.blazersedge.com/story/2007/10/2/15733/3090">Blazer's Edge</a>" previews the Bobcats 06-07 season. Interesting quote: "Richardson was reportedly available to the Blazers had they desired him but they passed on him because his knees had deteriorated to the point that it was affecting his game."</li></ul><span style="font-size:100%;"><br /><br /></span></div>Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com10tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-83216352821138913702007-10-01T16:02:00.000-04:002007-10-01T17:15:04.730-04:00Bobcats Sign Derek AndersonAccording to the Observer's Rick Bonnell, the Bobcats re-signed Derek Anderson. As I've said <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/diamonds-in-rough.html">numerous times</a>, Derek Anderson is a high-quality player and provides much-needed depth at the point guard position. This was an excellent move by the Bobcats' front office.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-7012788248986027022007-10-01T10:46:00.000-04:002007-10-01T10:49:56.278-04:00Presale: Single-Game TicketsThere's a 24 hour presale for individual game Bobcats tickets. For today (Oct. 1) only, you can buy individual seats before they go on sale to the general public.<br /><br />Go to <a href="http://www.ticketmaster.com/artist/931493?list_view=1">this link</a> and enter redemption code TMPRE.<br /><br />Some standout home games early in the season: Phoenix, Seattle, Boston, ChicagoCharlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-39167204860354919132007-09-28T08:57:00.001-04:002007-09-28T09:52:21.319-04:00Bobcats Add 3 More to RosterLast night, the Kinston Free Press broke the story on the Bobcats bringing three new players into its preseason camp. Can we pause for a moment to reflect on this.... Richard Walker of the Kinston Free Press is breaking Bobcats news, while the Observer is totally silent. Thank goodness for Bobcats blogs and discussion forums - I was alerted to the Free Press story by a post on Bobcats Planet's <a href="http://www.bobcatsplanet.com/joomla/component/option,com_smf/Itemid,70/board,4.0">message board</a>.<br /><br />Enough venting, on to the <a href="http://www.kinston.com/sports/bobcats_41419___article.html/roster_camp.html">Free Press story</a>. The Bobcats are bringing in 7'1 center Deji Akindele, 6'7 forward Gabe Muoneke, and 6'2 guard C.J. Watson. Akindele and Muoneke are NBDL guys, while CJ Watson played college ball at Tennessee from 2003-06.<br /><br />I reserve the right to get behind Akindele - we could use another big body, and Akindele was Defensive Player of the Year in the Mid-Continent Conference in 2005. He may be a nice addition to our squad.<br /><br />That said.....Bobcats, you have to bring back Derek Anderson.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-2414897643014354072007-09-21T15:26:00.000-04:002007-09-22T13:31:35.781-04:00Bobcats LinksA few quick Bobcats related links.<br /><ul><li>Tom Sorenson's <a href="http://www.charlotte.com/bobcats/story/286891.html">gooey Observer op-ed column</a> about Jason Richardson visiting an elementary school. Sorenson states that the way Richardson handles himself around children is "telling". Telling as to what? Not sure... Babysitting prowess? What a ridiculous column.<br /></li></ul><ul><li>Queen City Hoops' <a href="http://www.queencityhoops.com/AllWeNeedIs.php">9 ingredients</a> for a successful season. I agree wholeheartedly with this analysis. I would also like to emphasize the need for Felton to stay healthy. Felton is <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/wp48-and-charlotte-bobcats.html">merely average</a>. But McInnis is <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/wp48-and-charlotte-bobcats.html">utterly horrible</a>. The Bobcats can weather injuries to anyone except Okafor, Wallace, and Felton. If they go down, so do the Bobcats. By the way, any column that starts with a Transformers reference is A-OK in my book.</li></ul><ul><li>ESPN's Marc Stein <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/columns/story?columnist=stein_marc&page=EastOffseason07">evaluates the Bobcats' off-season</a>. Stein: (i) questions Richardson's status as a go-to player; (ii) chides the Bobcats for not re-signing Okafor; (iii) questions the team's dedication to Morrison; and (iv) absolutely destroys Coach Vincent. I'm on board with Stein's first three points, but the last seemed too personal. Do Stein and Vincent have history?<br /></li></ul>Hopefully this weekend we will learn the identity of the Bobcats' mysterious 12th man.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-51364289478233529552007-09-20T11:28:00.000-04:002007-09-20T11:41:19.078-04:00Esteban Batista, Man of MysteryI'm reading reports that the Bobcats are in talks with center Esteban Batista. I know next to nothing about this guy, aside from his <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/players/stats?statsId=4003">solid rebounding stats</a> and <a href="http://www.nba.com/2007fibaamericas/dengate_070829.html">strong FIBA performance</a>.<br /><br />Does anyone else?Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-7371635771147597822007-09-18T09:16:00.000-04:002007-09-18T16:26:34.205-04:00Backseat GM-ingI've been backseat GM-ing a lot lately. I argued that: (i) Adonal Foyle <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/foyle-to-bobcats.html">should be signed</a>; (ii) Derek Anderson <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/diamonds-in-rough.html">should be re-signed</a>; (iii) Jeff McInnis <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/diamonds-in-rough.html">should be dropped</a>; (iv) Emeka Okafor's contract <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/lock-down-okafor-now.html">should be extended</a>; and (v) Dikembe Mutombo should at least <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/09/bobcats-must-pursue-mutombo.html">be courted</a>.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">None </span>of these happened.<br /><br />It appears that the Bobcats decided after the draft that they're finishing maneuvering.<br /><br />I can't help but feel that in the blackjack game of the NBA, the Bobcats are staring at 14 and choosing to stay.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-82231515130148887322007-09-14T11:16:00.000-04:002007-09-16T12:57:25.440-04:00Bobcats Must Pursue MutomboCoach Vincent recently <a href="http://www.charlotte.com/bobcats/story/277023.html">discussed roster moves</a> with Charlotte Observer reporter Rick Bonnell. As our friends at <a href="http://mvn.com/nba-bobcats/2007/09/11/bobcats-have-one-roster-spot-left/">Bobcats Bonfire</a> intimated early this week, the Bobcats are looking for another center. Vincent mentioned two options - Michael Ruffin and Marc Jackson.<br /><br />These are poor choices.<br /><br />In 300 minutes of play last season, Ruffin shot less than 30% and managed a 1:2 rebound/turnover ratio. That's abysmal. His WP48 was <a href="http://www.jasonchandler.com/basketball/teamstats.php?team=was">-0.035</a>. Jackson wasn't any better. In 1,000 minutes of play, he shot 41% and earned a WP48 of <a href="http://www.jasonchandler.com/basketball/teamstats.php?team=nor">-0.079</a>. Why are we even considering them?<br /><br />Although most quality free agents have already been signed, an incredible center remains on the market - <span style="font-weight: bold;">Dikembe Mutombo</span>.<br /><br />According to <a href="http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/features/rumors">ESPN.com reports</a>, Mutombo is close to signing a 1-year contract with Houston for $1.9 million, the maximum Houston could pay under the salary cap. Why don't we make a run at him?<br /><br />Last season, Mutombo played 1,331 minutes. He shot 56% from the floor. He pulled in 499 rebounds. He blocked 79 shots. He only committed 38 turnovers. That's tremendous output from a back-up center. Who cares how old he is? If he puts up numbers that approach last season's, he will be a massive upgrade for the Bobcats. Mutombo's WP48 last season? <a style="font-weight: bold;" href="http://www.jasonchandler.com/basketball/teamstats.php?team=hou">0.332</a>. That's one of the highest in the entire NBA.<br /><br />Signing Mutombo for $2.5 or $3 million next season would be an absolute steal. Why would the Bobcats pursue Marc Jackson when they could land one of the most dominant big men in the NBA? Even better, his salary is a staggering bargain.<br /><br />I hope the Bobcats are on the phone with Mutombo's agents right now.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-54328966021455387932007-09-06T11:28:00.001-04:002007-09-07T10:13:25.410-04:00Bobcats 07/08 SalariesI was inspired to take a look at the Bobcats' salary situation by Sean Deveney's "<a href="http://www.sportingnews.com/yourturn/viewtopic.php?t=265722">Most Overpaid Players</a>" article (and David Berri's <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2007/09/05/the-surprising-leader-of-the-overpaid/">response</a>).<br /><br />Here are their 07/08 salaries (rounded to the nearest hundred thousand dollars):<br /><br />Jason Richardson - $11.1 million<br />Gerald Wallace - $9.5 million<br />Matt Carroll - $5.5 million<br />Emeka Okafor - $5.4 million<br />Adam Morrison - $3.9 million<br />Raymond Felton - $3.3 million<br />Primoz Brezec - $2.8 million [potentially a <a href="http://www.queencityhoops.com/DefenseOfPrimoz.php">"great bargain"</a>, says Queen City Hoops]<br />Othella Harrington - $2.4 million<br />Walter Hermann - $2.0 million<br />Sean May - $1.9 million<br />Brevin Knight - $1.5 million (buyout)<br />Jared Dudley - $1.1 million<br />Jeff McInnis - $1.1 million [<a href="http://blogs.charlotte.com/inside_the_nba/2007/08/bobcats-get-mci.html">"not a bad price</a>", says Rick Bonnell]<br />Ryan Hollins - $0.7 million<br />Jermareo Davidson - $0.4 million<br /><br />Obviously we are paying well below market for Okafor; his salary should <a href="http://www.queencityhoops.com/EmekasCost.php">more than double</a> when he signs his extension. Otherwise, these salaries look about right. Kudos to the Bobcats management.<br /><br />The biggest bargain may be Sean May. He is routinely destroyed by commenters at Rick Bonnell's <a href="http://blogs.charlotte.com/inside_the_nba/">Charlotte Observer blog</a>, but May has the potential to average 12 points and 12 rebounds next season. And for that potential, we're paying less than $2 million this year. What do we have to complain about?<br /><br />Hat tip to <a href="http://www.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/bobcats.jsp">ShamSports</a> for the salary info, and <a href="http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-28-13/I-Love-This-Site.html">Kelly Dwyer at TrueHoop</a> for recommending them.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-51713378256681784872007-09-04T13:57:00.000-04:002007-09-04T14:24:31.357-04:00Jared Dudley - Impact PlayerI am very high on Jared Dudley. Why? He excelled at Boston College.<br /><br />David Berri <a href="http://dberri.wordpress.com/2007/07/11/looking-back-at-the-nba-draft-part-one/">explains</a> that college play is a strong indicator of NBA play. In fact, it's a better predictor than draft position. The fact that Jared Dudley slid to the Bobcats at the 22nd pick speaks little about his prospect as a pro.<br /><br />Instead, let's take a look at the superior predictor - college stats. In his senior year, Dudley averaged 19 pounds and 8 rebounds while shooting 56% from the floor (and 44% behind the arc). And Dudley wasn't putting up these numbers in the MAC; he was the <span style="font-style: italic;">2007</span> <span style="font-style: italic;">ACC Player of the Year</span>. According to David Berri's <a href="http://www.wagesofwins.com/Draft2007.html">productivity/minute metric</a>, Dudley was the second-best swing man in college last season, behind only Kevin Durant. He was significantly better than Corey Brewer, Jeff Green, Thaddeus Young, and Julian Wright. He was even better than the Bobcats' top 10 pick, Brandan Wright.<br /><br />Past college performance predicts future pro results, so we have plenty of reasons to be optimistic about Dudley. If he finds his way onto the floor next season - granted, a big "if" - I expect Dudley to shine.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-45094505361074603752007-08-29T15:14:00.000-04:002007-08-29T15:39:00.725-04:00Inexplicable Signing of McInnisThe Bobcats' string of savvy off-season moves just snapped. The Bobcats inexplicably re-signed Jeff McInnis. <br /><br />On the Observer website, Rick Bonnell <a href="http://www.charlotte.com/bobcats/story/255549.html">points out</a> that McInnis averaged 4.3 points and 3.3 assists last season. What Bonnell fails to mention is that McInnis made less than 40% of his field goals, made less than 70% of his free throws, and managed only 14 steals in 700 minutes of play. His WP48 rating (discussed in David Berri's book <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Wages-Wins-Taking-Measure-Modern/dp/0804752877/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/104-5612557-8715919?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1188415419&sr=8-1">The Wages of Wins</a>), is a meager -0.026. The average NBA player has a WP48 of 0.100, so McInnis is significantly sub-par.<br /><br />It pains me to see the Bobcats sign Jeff McInnis over Derek Anderson. As I stressed <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/diamonds-in-rough.html">in a previous post</a>, this move will cost the Bobcats wins.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4119193995174324956.post-25106199374955534022007-08-19T14:51:00.000-04:002007-08-19T15:06:20.298-04:00Bobcats' Player Efficiency BreakdownOur friends over at <a href="http://www.queencityhoops.com/">Queen City Hoops</a> recently provided plus/minus numbers for each player on the 06-07 Bobcats roster. Although I prefer the WP48 metric promulgated in <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Wages-Wins-Taking-Measure-Modern/dp/0804752877">The Wages of Wins</a>, I think there is also great value in plus/minus numbers, and I have been anxiously awaiting this column. Some observations:<br /><ul><li>As I noted <a href="http://charlottebobcatsblog.blogspot.com/2007/08/diamonds-in-rough.html">in a previous post</a>, Derek Anderson played at a very high level last season, and bringing him back to the Bobcats should be a priority.<br /></li><li>Adam Morrison's rookie season was a slow motion car crash.</li><li>Walter Hermann was very successful last season. But was his success due to growth as a player, or was it due to playing against tanking opponents' back-up players? Next season will be illuminating.</li></ul>There's must more to be gleaned from the data, so I encourage you to head over to Queen City Hoops <a href="http://www.queencityhoops.com/PlayerEff0607.php">at this link</a> and check it out for yourself.Charlotte Bobcats Fanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18440953726189165424noreply@blogger.com2